Bitcoin has crossed the 19.96 million mark, which means that more than 95% of bitcoin has been released into existence. The largest cryptocurrency may soon experience a deficiency between exchanges rapidly from exchanges. For a strategic bitcoin reserve, US President Donald Trump’s plan and development adoption on BTC and layer 2 rollouts can catalyze the demand for digital assets.
Bitcoin deficiency and BTC demand driver
According to the reports of the Sentament, bitcoin supply on exchanges has been reduced by about 15% since the announcement of the results of the US presidential election in November 2024. In the same deadline, the supply outside the exchanges has climbed from 17.99 million to 18.3 million.
Typically, the increase in supplies on exchanges and increase in BTC tokens conducted by purse out of exchanges is considered a rapid signal for digital asset. The volume of BTC held on exchanges has hit its lowest level in about three and a half years.
The decline in exchange supply causes pressure sale, and continuous demand historically increases prices.
Matthew Sigel, head of Digital Assets Research in Matthew Sigale, Asset Management Giandon Wanek analyzed the 20 state-level bitcoin reserve bill. Sigale has predicted that if the bills are implemented, bitcoin traders may expect $ 23 billion in BTC demand. At current prices, the demand for 247,000 BTC may emerge from institutional investors equal to.
The amount detected by Sigal is independent of the pension fund allocation, if the chances of MLAs move forward.
Data of bitbo.io shows that only 1.039 million BTC (BTC) tokens are left to mining. More than 95% of mining bitcoins are either in circulation or large wallets are held in purse outside exchanges conducted by investors and institutions. The demand for institutional investors may emerge as a top driver for bitcoin value in 2025.
Trump’s plan for American strategic bitcoin reserve progress and bitcoin
US President Donald Trump has suggested the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve, which has been considered a game changing development in Crypto. Typically, a reserved property can be used at the time of crisis, with gold reserves and oil and gas reserves to deal with supply shocks in nation states.
The proposal to keep bitcoin as a reserve property, therefore, strengthens the demand for tokens from the US, the administration currently holds around 200,000 bitcoins, which is seized through a criminal investigation conducted by the FBI.
According to a financial time Report Published on 12 February, the government has earlier sold its BTC holdings, although the Trump administration is less likely because the idea of the bitcoin reserve has been discussed.
The finite supply of bitcoin has obtained advocates who believe that “adds disintegration price” and placing BTC tokens in the reserve will appreciate the value over the long term.
As President Trump supports bitcoins and digital assets in his pro-crypto trend and campaign, institutional investors and Wall Street Bankers are examining the feasibility of adding property to their balance sheet. Trump’s Crypto and AI Zar, David Sachs said, “One of the first things we are going to see is the feasibility of the bitcoin reserve.”
Bitcoin layer 2 protocol
Goat Network founder and CEO Kevin Liu discussed technological progress on bitcoin blockchain and commented on the viability and future of the bitcoin layer 2 protocol in a special interview with Crypto.
Liu said:
“It makes sense to offer several methods only for the increasing number of users (with bitcoins). Most bitcoin layer 2 networks rely on bitcoin to fuel their economies, while most atherium layer 2 is lean on ether. Different options for different users.
I think bitcoins L2S are well deployed, as bitcoin market cap, Mindshere and much more are the undisputed king of cryptocurrency by any other major metric. Since bitcoin L2S is such a new concept, more mature ethereum L2 and ALT-L1 have much more space for cases of growth and novel use than markets. ,
Liu told Crypto.news that many big institutions are increasing their sleeves to learn more about bitcoin layer 2 networks and BTCFI.
“Both institutions and individual users do not want to sell their bitcoin. They want to hire it, earn real BTC yield. They can then use that produce, say, pay for capital gains, or just pay everyday expenses. If BTC yield is quite large, there may also be space to pay for day to day requirements. And Increase their overall stack. ,
When asked about this market cycle, this market cycle was asked, Liu said,
“Every bull market has seen bitcoin dominance spikes dramatically at some point, sucking life and liquidity out of most other altcoins. The same has happened for most of this cycle. How Altcoins perform from here will answer your question how the overall market performs.
What we can say is that BTCFI is a new and exciting opportunity for crypto users, and the opportunity to earn a real BTC yield offers a big opportunity to get out of BTCFI. We are excited to expect an important role in the development of BTCFI. ,
Whales and institutes do not want to sell bitcoin, what is expected
Crypto Intelligence Tracker predicts an upcoming capitulation in the Santimen Bitcoin. In Crypto, capitulation occurs when a large number of investors sell a property due to fear of a stator improvement in the price of tokens and a prolonged price decline is usually after recovery in the price of tokens.
Cantiments evaluated the number of non-Khali wallets on bitcoin blockchain and identified a decline, which means that retail traders and investors are dumping their holding for fear of damage, while whale and big institutions to deposit BTC Continues.
Within the last three weeks, the number of non-Khali wallet of bitcoin blockchain declined by 277,240, a significant decline, according to the sentiment.
Over the long period, this behavior is specific of “captilation” and supports a rapid thesis for bitcoin in 2025.
Bitcoin Price Forecast for February 2025
While evaluating derivative market data on derive.xyz, it has been observed that 47.3% of all premiums were called and 24.4% calls were purchased, which shows that traders expect some upside down but with capted capacity .
Dr. The head of research on Scene Dawson, Derive.xyz told Crypto.news that:
“We are experiencing a temporary lull in instability as the market is cured due to Trump’s tariff announcements.
BTC at-the-money (ATM) 7-day volatility (IV) 7 percent marks have dropped-Backs to 47% to 40% in 24 hours and by 27 June, the BTC’s probability has increased by 44.4% to reach $ 125,000 by June 27. , From top, up to 44.4% from top 41.9%. ,
Dr. Dawson holds an optimistic approach on bitcoin value in near and long -term.
To predict the bitcoin value for February 2025, we analyze the weekly and daily value charts for BTC/USDT. On the daily time frame, technical indicators support a rapid thesis and make a possible return to an all -time high testing of $ 109,588.
The RSI 44 reads and is getting upwards, the MACD does a red histogram bar that is continuously low, which means negative speed in the bitcoin value trend, is possibly vanning.
BTC can withstand resistance to $ 100,000 milestones and get support at two major levels, $ 93,646 and $ 90,000 on a daily time frame. Three EMAS identify $ 98,154, 10-day EMA, as a resistance level and $ 84,534 levels, 200-day EMA, as a significant support for bitcoins.
On the weekly deadline, Bitcoin is 13% from its all -time high, a re -testing is likely in February 2025, although traders need to look closely to the price trend. There are both MACD and RSI motion indicators that are neutral or recession. The RSI reads 61 under the “Overvalude” zone at 70, and the MACD bitcoin price glows a red histogram bar below the neutral line after weeks of positive underlying speed.
While there is a possibility of an improvement, there is a possibility of a recovery, and a $ 100,000 milestone is an important level to look at the coming weeks.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The materials and materials painted on this page are only for educational purposes.
